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Looking For Strength In All The Right Places


 

This was a relatively uneventful week in the markets as the S&P 500 (ES) and Nasdaq (NQ) generally traded sideways. While this choppiness could feel somewhat boring, the daily squeezes in the indexes still have a bullish structure to them. As long as both indices hold this structure, we will continue to be patient and look for long opportunities in this market. The trend is your friend… until the trend changes.

 

ES Daily Chart

 

As for the market sectors where we are currently focusing, the semiconductors rose nicely this week but we think there is plenty of room to the upside. We are still long Broadcom (AVGO) and we nailed a trade on Nvidia (NVDA) for a quick profit this week. If we get any dip in the semiconductor group next week we will likely look to add more exposure in the chipmakers.

 

SMH Weekly Chart

 

As for technology, should the group make another move to the upside we think Apple (AAPL) is poised to pop based on its bullish daily squeeze (chart below). Google (GOOGL), despite having no daily squeeze, offers a handful of bullish squeezes on the lower time frames that we will be watching closely. 

 

AAPL Weekly Chart

 

GOOGL Hourly Chart

 

After weeks of consolidation the financial sector finally woke up this afternoon. The weekly squeeze looks incredibly bullish and could offer the potential for weeks of solid momentum. However, after today’s big move we suggest waiting for the next pull back before diving in. In the Compounding Growth Mastery we sold a put credit spread on Goldman Sachs (GS) yesterday afternoon and bought it back today for a nice profit as it quickly ran into our target. We will happily look for another entry on the next dip.

 

GS Daily Chart

 

The structure of the indexes continues to be solid. These are some pockets of the market that could offer great opportunities if the bullish nature of the market continues. There are a few additional stocks on our watchlist where we are looking to buy the dip and we will be covering those in detail in this Sunday’s watchlist video. Enjoy some relaxation this weekend because it’s back to the grind on Monday! We’ll talk to you on Sunday!


Stay Focused!

 

Nonfarm Payrolls: Make or Break?


 

The main focus this week is on jobs. We had a slightly bearish ADP Employment report on Wednesday and now we’re waiting to see what Friday brings with the Nonfarm Payrolls report. This jobs report could be the catalyst that the market has been waiting for… 

The S&P 500 (ES) has not dropped lower or rallied higher, but it instead has been sitting in a 4-hour squeeze above the 4-hour Ichimoku Cloud. The market has the capability to break higher as momentum continues to build, but it needs a reason to pop. Could the jobs report cause the market to jump higher? Unless the ES breaks below $4,364, prices will likely continue to chop until the next rally higher. Be careful to not short this market and rather wait to see if we head higher. 

Today, we finally saw all three major indices join the rally party, settling up around the same percentage points (slightly over 0.5%). The Nasdaq (NQ) logged an all-time closing high and the Dow Jones (YM) finished the day in the green. The technology sector is still leading the market higher. As long as the NQ holds $15,134 and trades back through today’s all-time high at $15,166, there is plenty of momentum to explode higher and boost the market.

Watch the video above for our Focused List of setups that could continue to squeeze and fire higher. Be patient heading into Friday’s jobs report, manage your risk properly, and we’ll see if jobs can push the market higher. 

Stay Focused!

 

New Month, Fresh Squeezes


 

Let’s see what this fresh month of August brings after the market sold off last week to end July.

This week the focus is all about jobs. Keep a close eye on the ADP Employment report on Wednesday and the Non-Farm Payrolls report on Friday. Watch how the market acts leading into these two reports and how the market reacts if we receive two bullish reports.

Will the jobs report be a catalyst to the upside, downside, or is it simply just noise?

This week also leads us into earnings for our last few big names. The main focus on earnings is on individual stocks, specifically Alibaba set for Tuesday morning and Roku on Wednesday afternoon.

We are still using the same compass as last week and waiting to see what happens next as the overall market is still inside this 4-hour squeeze. Watch the video above for a full market breakdown on the three major indices, volatility, and a deeper analysis of our current focused list (check below).

Here is our focused list: 

NVDA – After the stock split, NVDA is retesting and holding its wedge at the 196 level. The 4-hour squeeze hasn’t fired yet, so let’s see if it can continue to hold. If it breaks through 200, look for 204 or 206.

GOOGL – Closed bullish near all-time highs despite technology’s red day on Monday. Watch the 2-hour Ichimoku Cloud. Key levels to keep an eye on: 2,770 calls for this week’s expiration and 2,750. Be patient and see what technology stocks do.

ROKU – After hitting an all-time high, there’s been some serious selling. See if earnings this week could push this to 500. Look for opportunities with lotto trades toward the 500 strike next week. Be patient and proceed with caution among earnings.

SQ – With the acquisition of Afterpay, Square ripped higher to all-time highs with huge amounts of volume. Weekly squeeze wants to fire, meaning it could break an all-time high. Went from 230 premarket to 283 on Monday, could move down or be so strong that it explodes higher to the 300 level.

TSLA – Starting to fire a daily squeeze and into a weekly squeeze to hit a target of 750. If it continues to hold the 709 to 700 zone and breaks 727, we could see the push toward 750.

Stay Focused!

 

Semi’s Time To Shine?


 

After a big week mostly focused on technology earnings, the market remained mostly unaffected. All three indices are holding their bullish structure with daily squeezes heading into August.

 

No Amazon, No Problem


This week was all about technology earnings, and Amazon (AMZN) was the story of the week, gapping down almost 7% at the open this morning after announcing Thursday evening what were (apparently) “unsatisfactory” earnings. 

Despite the AMZN puke, indexes held up incredibly well today as both the ES (S&P 500) and NQ (Nasdaq) continued to hold structure in a bullish daily squeeze (see charts below). At this point, we will be focusing on these daily squeezes to serve as our compass for the next potential move. While there is the possibility the upward trend continues into next week, we are also taking into consideration the potential that the market may need to “cool down” and trade sideways for a bit. With that being said, we will be patient and give any potential trades moving forward ample time to work out.

 

ES Daily Chart

 

NQ Daily Chart

 

In terms of where the big potential play may be in the coming weeks, we are still huge fans of the chipmakers (semiconductors) here. SMH (semiconductor exchange traded fund, or ETF) looks poised to fire its daily squeeze to the upside which fairs well for our positions in my Compounding Growth Technique Mastery in AVGO (Broadcom) and NVDA (Nvidia) (see charts below).

While technology has run the show as of late, is it the semiconductor’s time-to-shine? We think so! And while we think the group is getting ready for a solid move, we suggest, as always, focusing on the stocks within the group that offer the best setups and entries. AVGO, NVDA, and AMAT (Applied Materials) are our favorites here, while AMD (American Tower Corp) and QCOM (Qualcomm) have quickly become too extended for us to chase an entry here.

 

AVGO Weekly Chart

 

NVDA 4-Hour Chart

 

TSLA (Tesla) is another name of interest for us here as well, and we’re looking to see if the weekly squeeze is (finally) ready to bust a move (see chart below). Though the weekly chart looks solid, the daily chart isn’t the cleanest setup yet. There are a few things you want to take into consideration if you’re going to pursue a trade here, such as the put credit spread we opened yesterday in the Compounding Growth Technique Mastery program.

 

TSLA Weekly Chart

 

In this Sunday’s premium video, we’ll go into details surrounding technology, the chipmakers (semiconductors), Tesla, and a few other spots that could offer opportunity in August. So keep an eye on your inbox this weekend for the video!

Stay Focused!

 

Tech Earnings Ending…


 

We’re finally wrapping up the biggest week of earnings with companies like Apple, Tesla, Facebook, and Google all reporting. Tonight brings another round of releases with the main focus being Amazon (AMZN).

The market has been digesting these earnings, rallying hard in the beginning of the week and now just chopping sideways. Last time we traded at these all-time highs we had the same pattern of a 4-hour squeeze. We saw the market rally and consolidate, just like we’ve seen this week.

Depending on a strong or weak AMZN report tonight, the market could rally higher, drop lower, or continue to squeeze overnight. Keep an eye on this 4-hour squeeze to gauge which direction we’ll be moving next. The 4-hour squeeze is a great reminder to practice patience as we wait for the next great move and for the squeeze to explode. The market is currently trending upward, so let’s see if the squeeze continues to fire overnight or if we head back down. 

Pay attention to the squeezes and how Amazon’s earnings shape the market. If the report drops technology, the ES (S&P 500) would most likely also fall. The news could send us higher or simply do nothing, sending the market back into squeezes. All these are possible scenarios, but let’s use the squeeze and Amazon’s report to help guide us in the right direction. Watch the video above for the next levels to focus on based on what moves end up happening tomorrow and into next week.

Stay Focused!

 

Clarity in Cloud


 

The Ichimoku Cloud has been one of the most reliable and powerful indicators we’ve used over the course of our trading career. It is a common indicator found on most trading platforms and represents the grey “cloud” that combines multiple points of data to give a current and future projection of support and resistance. The reason this is our favorite indicator is that it isn’t a lagging indicator, meaning that it gives a forward projection and doesn’t update with price. In this video, I’ll introduce and breakdown the Ichimoku Cloud in detail, so that you can add this indicator to your trading arsenal.

If you’re interested in learning more about how I use the Ichimoku Cloud specifically for my Scalping strategy, check out my complete 4-hour training class here.


Stay Focused!

 

Attack Plan For Earnings


 

All eyes are on technology this coming week as the leaders of this recent rally are all set to announce quarterly earnings.

With the markets already extended, disappointing earnings could bring an “end to the party” for technology stocks. Vice-versa, a positive reaction to the announcements could send these stocks even higher.

We are patiently waiting for the next pullback in the markets before we get aggressive on new high-probability long positions. The semiconductor sector is our favorite spot in the market right now, and we’ll be continuing to pursue trades for the bullish weekly squeeze. Check out the video above for our attack plan ahead of earnings this week. 

Stay Focused!

 

Will Earnings Make or Break This Bull?


Another crazy week for the markets is in the books and both the Nasdaq (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES) closed at brand new all-time highs (ATH) today – and the Dow hit 35,000 for the first time ever. While the market looks incredibly bullish from a chart perspective, this recent rush higher has masked a lot of the selling pressure bubbling below the surface.

The small caps, Russell 2000 Index (IWM), and sectors such as energy and transports continue to break down and lose structure. At this point, this entire market is being driven by big technology stocks, rather than finding strength across the board.

 

ES Daily Chart

 

NQ Daily Chart

 

Next week should be an incredibly important one for the market as technology stocks are set to start announcing quarterly earnings. Will the market continue to rally after earnings? Or, is this nothing but a huge push into the announcements before we finally top out?

How high this goes is the big question at this point. While we have no plans on shorting technology or the S&P 500 (SPY), we certainly don’t have any interest in taking large risks with the market so extended. Therefore, we will be going into next week waiting for a pullback to offer fresh potential for high-probability entry opportunities.

The semiconductors continue to look phenomenal here with a beautiful weekly and daily squeeze setting up (see chart below). We already have some exposure in the semiconductors with our position in AVGO and we will be covering a few more that we are keeping an eye on in this Sunday’s video.

 

SMH Weekly Chart

 

This is a fast-moving market and with that comes the need to stick to your rules now more than ever. This week we opened a position in NET and took profits two days later as it ran through the 2+ average true range (ATR). In this wild market, could it have continued to rally? Absolutely! With the markets extended, is now a good time to get greedy? Absolutely not!

 

NET Daily Chart

 

Focus on clean setups, stick to your entry and exit rules, and scale down in position size until the next meaningful dip. That’s our plan for now! Keep an eye out for Sunday’s e-letter, where we’ll get into the details of the next few setups we’re looking to trade.

Stay Focused!

 

Big Drop, Pop, Now What?


 

After an anticipated drop and quick pop this week, now it’s time to observe what is setting up next. Whenever we approach the 2 to 3 average true range (ATR) bands, we can expect a pullback. Every downside move is simply just a dip buy, until proven otherwise. We’ve had diminished volume over the past few days, so the markets aren’t completely out of trouble, but where do we go from here? 

To gauge where we are heading tomorrow, keep a close eye on the 4-hour Ichimoku Cloud and the hourly squeeze forming on the overall market – in the S&P 500 (ES). Use these squeezes to your advantage, so you can stay out of trouble on Friday, especially with big earnings coming up next week. As long as we hold this key zone at the point of control (POC) at 4,341, we will remain bullish. If the squeeze fires to the downside, we will be looking for a push back to the daily mean at 4,313. 

Be patient and stay disciplined to end the week. We’ve seen a great drop, a great pop, and so we want to stay out of trouble as the market moves sideways and looks for direction. Watch the video above to see where I think the markets are heading next. 

Stay Focused!